analysis

Asking The Right Questions - A guide to critical thinking

M. Neil Browne & Stuart M. Keeley

Refrain from reverse logic, reasons then conclusions, not conclusions then supporting reasons

Find Issue

Find Conclusion

Find Supporting Reasons

• Ask Why?

Find ambiguity in reasons

• abstract terms
• multiple meanings

The Black Swan - Nassim Taleb

Black Swan - Highly Improbably Event

• Unpredictable
• Massive Impact
• Explain after the fact